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Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?
Resolved :
No
51%
79 forecasters
35
10 comments
10
Will Moore's Law end by 2025?
Closed
58%
203 forecasters
29
23 comments
23
Will cost-adjusted IT technology be worse than it was 8 years (32 quarters) ago in at least one quarter prior to 2030?
Closed
22%
75 forecasters
13
10 comments
10
What will the mean of the year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops of the all 500 supercomputers in the TOP500 be, in the three year period ending in November 2023?
Resolved :
38
51.4
26 forecasters
4
2 comments
2
What if Mooreโs Law breaks ?
3
no comments
0
AI Progress Essay Contest
Looking ahead to 2050: Charting scenarios without transformative AI
8
3 comments
3
AI Progress Essay Contest
Leverage AI-centric to AGI and ASI-centric beyond Moore's Law
no comments
0
AI Progress Essay Contest
Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years
26
16 comments
16