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Will a prediction market outperform Nate Silver's forecasts for the Super Tuesday primaries?
Resolved :
Yes
44%
37 forecasters
11
17 comments
17
Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?
Resolved :
No
39%
113 forecasters
3
26 comments
26
Will the PredictIt prediction market outperform Fivethirtyeight's forecasts for the 2020 Super Tuesday Democratic primaries?
Resolved :
No
46%
51 forecasters
9
17 comments
17
Will FiveThirtyEight ace the 2020 US presidential electoral map?
Resolved :
No
5%
94 forecasters
9
21 comments
21
Will 538 outperform PredictIt forecasting the 2020 Presidential Elections?
Resolved :
Yes
76%
109 forecasters
14
51 comments
51
Will 538 outperform The Economist forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?
Resolved :
No
52%
115 forecasters
32
65 comments
65
When will Nate Silver release his second book?
Resolved :
13 Aug 2024
17 Aug 2024
42 forecasters
3
23 comments
23
condition
AI in 2024 Presidential Debates
Resolved :
No
11 forecasters
if yes
if no
When AI concern go mainstream in US?
Jan 2026
Resolved :
Annulled
When AI concern go mainstream in US?
Apr 2026
5
1 comment
1
condition
AI-driven attack on US election on Facebook
Closed
6 forecasters
if yes
if no
When AI concern go mainstream in US?
Jun 2025
When AI concern go mainstream in US?
May 2026
2
no comments
0
Which jurisdiction will be the "Tipping Point" in the 2024 US presidential election?
Pennsylvania
Yes
Wisconsin
No
Michigan
No
10 others
7
37 comments
37
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