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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
4
4
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
2
comments
37
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
04 Nov 2025
Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season
4
0
comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
10
2
2
comments
0
comments
51
forecasters
Will Nancy Pelosi beat the S&P 500 in 2025?
60%
chance
52%
this week
8
comments
104
forecasters
Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?
Abu Dhabi
67.9%
Qatar
30%
Las Vegas
2%
1 other
0%
1
comment
55
forecasters
Will any of these 8 pieces of jewelry stolen in the 2025 Louvre heist be recovered before December 1, 2025?
19%
chance
12
comments
87
forecasters
What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?
TSLA
result:
0.39
$
AMD (annulled)
Annulled
AAPL
1.77
4 others
6
comments
45
forecasters
What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Current estimate
15 pp
32
comments
159
forecasters
Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?
75%
chance
20%
this week
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