• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
2 comments
37 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
04 Nov 2025

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

4
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

10
22 comments
0 comments
51 forecasters

Will Nancy Pelosi beat the S&P 500 in 2025?

60%chance
52% this week
8 comments
104 forecasters

Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?

Abu Dhabi67.9%
Qatar30%
Las Vegas2%
1 comment
55 forecasters

Will any of these 8 pieces of jewelry stolen in the 2025 Louvre heist be recovered before December 1, 2025?

19%chance
12 comments
87 forecasters

What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?

TSLAresult: 0.39 $
AMD (annulled)Annulled
AAPL1.77
6 comments
45 forecasters

What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Current estimate
15 pp
32 comments
159 forecasters

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

75%chance
20% this week