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Will an AI be able to reliably construct bug-free code of more than 10,000 lines before 2030?

228 forecasters

26

AI Demonstrations

Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?

275 forecasters

24

AI Demonstrations

Will AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it before 2030?

408 forecasters

39

AI Demonstrations

Will an AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen before 2030?

314 forecasters

33

AI Demonstrations

Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?

172 forecasters

32

AI Demonstrations

Will the recipient of the 2020 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics work for a top cited scholastic institution?

Resolved :Yes45%

9

Will the Unique Games Conjecture be proved by 2030?

2