Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
📖
ACX 2025
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?
Resolved :
No
35%
198 forecasters
87
33 comments
33
AI Demonstrations
Will a legacy automaker go bankrupt before 2030?
55%
90 forecasters
12
22 comments
22
When will Uber electrify 50% of its fleet?
2032-01-28
38 forecasters
9
9 comments
9
Verity
What percentage of new passenger car sales in Australia in 2030 will be electric vehicles?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
30%
3 forecasters
2
5 comments
5
What percentage of new passenger car sales will be all-electric in Australia in 2030?
47.1
22 forecasters
2
1 comment
1
In what year will half of new cars sold in the US be fully autonomous?
Closed
2031-12-09
242 forecasters
53
16 comments
16
AI Progress Essay Contest