Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
2
comments
30
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
03 Nov 2025
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
11
1
1
comment
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
5
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
3
comments
39
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.4%
2
comments
45
forecasters
Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?
90%
chance
39.6%
today
3
comments
54
forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet
31.1%
OpenAI
24.4%
Anthropic
16.7%
3 others
28%
6
comments
43
forecasters
What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Current estimate
16.1 pp
99
comments
294
forecasters
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
45%
chance
9%
this week
6
comments
87
forecasters
What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies?
AMD (annulled)
Annulled
AAPL
102B
AMD
8.73B
4 others
8
comments
86
forecasters
What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?
AMD (annulled)
Annulled
AAPL
1.76
AMD
1.05
4 others
Load More