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2
comments
28
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
03 Nov 2025
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
11
1
1
comment
3
comments
39
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.4%
3
comments
53
forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet
32.4%
OpenAI
23.7%
Anthropic
18%
3 others
26%
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
5
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
2
comments
43
forecasters
Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?
93%
chance
38%
today
99
comments
293
forecasters
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
43%
chance
7%
this week
8
comments
86
forecasters
What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?
AMD (annulled)
Annulled
AAPL
1.76
AMD
1.06
4 others
6
comments
86
forecasters
What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies?
AMD (annulled)
Annulled
AAPL
102B
AMD
8.7B
4 others
condition
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
2
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?
1
1
comment
2
2
forecasters
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