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Will OpenAI announce that it has solved the core technical challenges of superintelligence alignment by June 30, 2027?
2%
201 forecasters
21
40 comments
40
AI Safety
by 2021, will SLAC complete an "accelerator-on-a-chip" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?
Resolved :
No
132 forecasters
21
9 comments
9
Can quantum gravity be interestingly constrained using tabletop experiments?
Resolved :
No
57 forecasters
10
6 comments
6
Does Proxima have Planets?
Resolved :
Yes
58 forecasters
4
7 comments
7
Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?
Resolved :
No
80 forecasters
7
4 comments
4
To the stars! #3: Will a first test of a high-power phased array laser system occur by 2018?
Resolved :
No
93 forecasters
20
13 comments
13
Will a personal computer based on "The Machine" technology be put to market by end of 2018?
Resolved :
No
108 forecasters
8
6 comments
6
Image projection patent implemented in the new Nintendo Switch?
Resolved :
No
27 forecasters
3
4 comments
4
Seeing single photons: more research to come?
Resolved :
Yes
28 forecasters
7
13 comments
13
50% hit rate for the Kepler optical planet detections?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
37 forecasters
9
11 comments
11
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