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If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?

6

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?

3

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Will there be at least one fatality in the US from a non-test nuclear detonation by 2050 if a non-test detonation causes a fatality anywhere?

8

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Will a non-test nuclear detonation by a non-state actor cause at least one fatality by 2030?

7

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Will the next non-test detonation of a state’s nuclear weapon be immediately preceded by conventional conflict?

2

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

What proportion of non-test nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be against battlefield targets?

3

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be countervalue?

4

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be on well-populated areas?

0.164 this week

9

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050, if at least one offensive detonation occurs?

14

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Will there be an offensive nuclear detonation on a nation's capital by 2024, if an offensive nuclear detonation occurs anywhere by 2024?

Resolved :Annulled

2

Nuclear Risk Tournament