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Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?
1%
166 forecasters
9
23 comments
23
Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025?
0.1%
177 forecasters
24
80 comments
80
Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?
Resolved :
No
40%
112 forecasters
12
6 comments
6
When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?
2029-05-20
616 forecasters
66
112 comments
112
Will three or more United Nations Security Council resolutions be vetoed in 2021?
Resolved :
No
42%
31 forecasters
7
12 comments
12
Will Russia annex Ukrainian territory before 2022?
Resolved :
No
2%
128 forecasters
31
32 comments
32
Will the New START nuclear arms control agreement be renewed until at least February 5, 2027?
43%
38 forecasters
4
3 comments
3
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
By 2024, will Russia clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans?
Resolved :
No
1%
79 forecasters
3
1 comment
1
Nuclear Risk Tournament
By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty?
Resolved :
No
0.5%
91 forecasters
5
2 comments
2
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Will the US officially state the intention to re-ratify the INF Treaty by 2024?
Resolved :
No
1%
68 forecasters
2
5 comments
5
Nuclear Risk Tournament
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