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When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?
Jun 2029
636 forecasters
72
113 comments
113
Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?
1%
165 forecasters
9
23 comments
23
Will a post-Putin Russia substantially democratise within 5 years?
13%
132 forecasters
17
17 comments
17
Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?
Resolved :
No
40%
112 forecasters
12
6 comments
6
When will Vladimir Putin leave power in Russia?
Closed
Apr 2027
77 forecasters
26
12 comments
12
When will the COVID-19 epidemic subside in Russia?
Resolved :
Above upper bound
12 May 2022
64 forecasters
11
16 comments
16
Will three or more United Nations Security Council resolutions be vetoed in 2021?
Resolved :
No
42%
31 forecasters
7
12 comments
12
Will Russia annex Ukrainian territory before 2022?
Resolved :
No
2%
128 forecasters
31
32 comments
32
Will the New START nuclear arms control agreement be renewed until at least February 5, 2027?
45%
38 forecasters
4
3 comments
3
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
By 2024, will Russia clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans?
Resolved :
No
1%
79 forecasters
3
1 comment
1
Nuclear Risk Tournament
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