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2
comments
15
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
02 Nov 2025
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
9
1
1
comment
3
comments
37
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
63.2%
3
comments
43
forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet
35.6%
OpenAI
25.5%
Other
16.7%
3 others
22%
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
3
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
8
comments
61
forecasters
How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?
3
95%
4
4.6%
0
0.1%
3 others
0%
4
comments
42
forecasters
When will Adelita Grijalva be sworn in?
Current estimate
04 Nov 2025
condition
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
2
forecasters
if yes
if no
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?
Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?
1
1
comment
2
2
forecasters
8
comments
84
forecasters
What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?
AMD (annulled)
Annulled
AAPL
Upcoming
AMD
Upcoming
4 others
6
comments
84
forecasters
What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies?
AMD (annulled)
Annulled
AAPL
Upcoming
AMD
Upcoming
4 others
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