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Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?

309 forecasters

21

Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2025?

593 forecasters

15

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Will Kamala Harris be president before inauguration day 2025?

458 forecasters

53

Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025?

13

Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?

10

Regulation of AI

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

10

Will Ron DeSantis become US president by 2029?

163 forecasters

11

Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?

462 forecasters

33

Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?

11

Will an independent conservative candidate gain a significant number of votes in the 2016 US Presidential election?

136 forecasters

2