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Who will be the first long-term President of Russia after Putin?
Mikhail Mishustin
20%
Nikolai Patrushev
4%
Dmitry Medvedev
3%
11 others
9
32 comments
32
Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
20%
286 forecasters
38
44 comments
44
Verity
Will a post-Putin Russia substantially democratise within 5 years?
13%
132 forecasters
17
17 comments
17
When will Russia repeal or amend its laws that prohibit gender-affirming health care?
2047
13 forecasters
4
1 comment
1
Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?
1%
182 forecasters
16
15 comments
15
Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?
Resolved :
No
40%
112 forecasters
12
6 comments
6
Will there be a China-Russia war by 2035?
2%
224 forecasters
18
52 comments
52
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023?
Resolved :
19.5k
19.8k
309 forecasters
12
67 comments
67
Ukraine Conflict
When will Russia's nuclear readiness scale return to Level 1?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
15 Nov 2023
200 forecasters
8
16 comments
16
Ukraine Conflict
What will be the total aggregate score given to Russia by Freedom House in 2023?
Resolved :
Annulled
13.2
36 forecasters
3
7 comments
7
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