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Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?
3%
169 forecasters
16
14 comments
14
Will there be a China-Russia war by 2035?
1%
224 forecasters
18
52 comments
52
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will a post-Putin Russia substantially democratise within 5 years?
12%
125 forecasters
17
17 comments
17
When will Russia repeal or amend its laws that prohibit gender-affirming health care?
2047-06-30
12 forecasters
3
1 comment
1
Will Russia expand by means of armed conflict before 2020?
Resolved :
No
112 forecasters
12
6 comments
6
How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023?
Resolved :
19.5k
309 forecasters
12
67 comments
67
Ukraine Conflict
When will Russia's nuclear readiness scale return to Level 1?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
200 forecasters
8
16 comments
16
Ukraine Conflict
What will be the total aggregate score given to Russia by Freedom House in 2023?
Resolved :
Annulled
36 forecasters
3
7 comments
7
Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023?
Resolved :
No
1269 forecasters
68
194 comments
194
Ukraine Conflict
Ukraine Conflict Update for Sunday, 2022-03-13
6
1 comment
1
Ukraine Conflict
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