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Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024?
Resolved :
No
0.2%
201 forecasters
20
18 comments
18
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024?
Resolved :
No
0.1%
178 forecasters
6
6 comments
6
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement?
Resolved :
No
0.1%
191 forecasters
12
13 comments
13
Nuclear Risk Tournament
By 2024, will Russia clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans?
Resolved :
No
1%
79 forecasters
3
1 comment
1
Nuclear Risk Tournament
By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty?
Resolved :
No
0.5%
91 forecasters
5
2 comments
2
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022?
Resolved :
No
2%
1634 forecasters
160
523 comments
523
Ukraine Conflict
Will Russia control Cherkasy on June 1, 2022?
Resolved :
No
1%
252 forecasters
6
6 comments
6
Ukraine Conflict
Will Russia control Vinnytsia on June 1, 2022?
Resolved :
No
1%
236 forecasters
7
7 comments
7
Ukraine Conflict
Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022?
Resolved :
No
3%
511 forecasters
19
33 comments
33
Ukraine Conflict
Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022?
Resolved :
No
1%
832 forecasters
36
91 comments
91
Ukraine Conflict
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