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Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?

7

A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious

5

AI ambiguity Series

Will RoboCup announce that robots have beaten professional human soccer players before 2050?

277 forecasters

34

Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?

11

Is the human being, as opposed to everything else in nature, an exception to causality? Rephrased: Is the entire universe deterministic?

9

Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?

554 forecasters

87

Ragnarök Series—results so far

31

Ragnarök Series

When will there be at least 5 billion internet users?

Resolved :Apr 15, 2022

9

How does the process at Metaculus compare to the Delphi method?

What will be the total damage incurred by climate change in the 21st century as measured by its impact on GDP?

12