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Will humans have a sustainable off-world presence by 2100?
60%
577 forecasters
86
80 comments
80
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due "other risks"?
20%
31 forecasters
3
9 comments
9
Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
19%
31 forecasters
6
3 comments
3
Will an attack on the electrical grid cause an extended power outage for a major U.S. city?
Resolved :
No
5%
50 forecasters
7
3 comments
3
A is in the I of the beholder #4: Patently Obvious
Resolved :
No
54%
77 forecasters
5
12 comments
12
AI ambiguity Series
Will RoboCup announce that robots have beaten professional human soccer players before 2050?
55%
276 forecasters
35
57 comments
57
AGI Outcomes
Will the Supreme Court set clear limits on partisan gerrymandering in 2018?
Resolved :
No
50%
92 forecasters
11
21 comments
21
Is the human being, as opposed to everything else in nature, an exception to causality? Rephrased: Is the entire universe deterministic?
9
5 comments
5
How much concern about climate change will exist in 2025, according to Google Trends?
Closed
1.29
34 forecasters
4
12 comments
12
Ragnarök Series—results so far
31
34 comments
34
Ragnarök Series
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