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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
2 comments
28 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
03 Nov 2025

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

11
11 comment
3 comments
39 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate
61.4%
3 comments
53 forecasters

Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?

Alphabet32.4%
OpenAI23.7%
Anthropic18%

🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap

5
0 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
2 comments
43 forecasters

Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?

93%chance
38% today
99 comments
293 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

43%chance
6% this week
6 comments
86 forecasters

What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies?

AMD (annulled)Annulled
AAPL102B
AMD8.7B
8 comments
86 forecasters

What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?

AMD (annulled)Annulled
AAPL1.76
AMD1.06
condition

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

2 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

11 comment
2
2 forecasters