Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
🌍
USAID Outlook
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?
125
136 forecasters
15
75 comments
75
What will SpaceX be worth in 2030, in billions of nominal USD?
628
97 forecasters
21
40 comments
40
Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
99%
167 forecasters
25
25 comments
25
How many Starlink satellites will be in operation on January 1, 2028?
11.1k
100 forecasters
20
42 comments
42
How many Starlink satellites will be in operation on the 1st of July 2020?
Resolved :
538
516
80 forecasters
13
24 comments
24
When will SpaceX Starlink internet be generally available?
Resolved :
15 Jun 2021
28 Oct 2021
117 forecasters
28
62 comments
62
If Starlink offers an IPO before 2030, will it set a record for the largest IPO?
27%
77 forecasters
14
20 comments
20
Will Starlink conduct an IPO before 2030?
75%
70 forecasters
11
2 comments
2
Will SpaceX file for bankruptcy protection before 1 January 2023?
Resolved :
No
1%
165 forecasters
14
15 comments
15
How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in the following years?
2024
253
2023
211
2025
288
6
11 comments
11
Load More