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Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup
5
17
17
comments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
14
0
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0
comments
6
forecasters
Will the U.S. government seek to revoke a naturalized citizen's citizenship for post-naturalization conduct in the following years?
0
comments
5
forecasters
In the following years, will any U.S. state or the District of Columbia no longer have a previously existing anti-SLAPP law?
0
comments
5
forecasters
Will the U.S. Senate pass a reconciliation bill with no CBO input on Byrd Rule compliance in the following years?
$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
3
3
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
9
comments
50
forecasters
Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?
0
comments
4
forecasters
Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?
4
comments
7
forecasters
Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
R Praggnanandhaa
99.9%
Anish Giri
99.9%
Hikaru Nakamura
99%
18 others
25
comments
252
forecasters
Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?
60%
chance
51%
this week
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