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Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

30

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?

76

364 comments364

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?

981 forecasters

108

202 comments202

The Taiwan Tinderbox

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

1257 forecasters

21

The Taiwan Tinderbox

On how many days in the following years will China carry out “reactionary” air incursions into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone?

4

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Will China make an official statement before 2030 saying that it has disavowed use of force as a means for reunification with Taiwan?

2

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

9

Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years?

9

The Taiwan Tinderbox

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

168 forecasters

17

The Taiwan Tinderbox

How many UN member states will formally recognize Taiwan at the end of 2025?

7