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Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding

5
33 comments
Research Agencies Outlook
4 comments
5 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Anish Giri99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa99.8%
Hikaru Nakamura95%

Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup

3
99 comments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
33 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
0 comments
7 forecasters

Will senior DOJ leaders override normal procedures to protect the President, his family, or his allies from a legal case in the following years?

0 comments
3 forecasters

Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of foreign interference?

0 comments
2 forecasters

Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?

9 comments
43 forecasters

Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?

10 comments
27 forecasters

When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days
7 comments
66 forecasters

How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days