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0 comments
26 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach β‰₯4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

0 comments
16 forecasters

Will the habeas corpus be suspended for any group of people within the United States in any of the following years?

0 comments
11 forecasters

In the following years, will any U.S. state or the District of Columbia no longer have a previously existing anti-SLAPP law?

17 comments
45 forecasters

Will Iran announce an evacuation of Tehran before 2026?

12.4%chance

Key Factors

1 comment
19 forecasters

Will the Trump administration release the Epstein Files before January 20, 2029?

48%chance
18% this week
1 comment
14 forecasters

How many chlorination grants will GiveWell recommend after September 20, 2024, and before January 1, 2026?

6 or more28.7%
427.4%
527.4%
2 comments
5 forecasters

How many vehicle deliveries will Tesla report for Q4 2025?

Current estimate
409k vehicles
22 comments
48 forecasters

What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire?

Current estimate
>2193 deaths
139 comments
319 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

46%chance

Key Factors

5 comments
12 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Hikaru Nakamura99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa99.9%
Anish Giri99.9%