• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

12
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
12 comments
55 forecasters

Will a suspected shooter in the assassination of political activist Charlie Kirk be neutralized before September 19, 2025?

resultYes
3 comments
45 forecasters

What percentage of games will end in a decisive result in the open section of the 2025 FIDE Grande Swiss ?

Current estimate
46.9%
0 comments
4 forecasters

When will a synthetic biology platform effectively degrade pesticides in field conditions?

Current estimate
Nov 2035
0 comments
38 forecasters

Will Nepal swear in a new prime minister before September 20, 2025?

Revealed in 3 days
42 comments
140 forecasters

Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?

Together for the Republic76.6%
Other10%
No Prime Minister3.4%
0 comments
4 forecasters

Will U.S. authorities transfer any current or former U.S. citizen to a prison abroad in the following years?

4 comments
6 forecasters

Will the White House direct federal agencies to target three or more high-profile presidential critics in the following years?

1 comment
7 forecasters

Will the U.S. federal government open formal investigations of at least 5 top-50 universities in the following years?

1 comment
6 forecasters

Will U.S. Congress pass new limits on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in the following years?