Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ฅ
Communities
๐ค๐ญ
AI Benchmarking
๐ธ๐
Forecast With GiveWell
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฝ๐ณ๏ธ
US Election Stakes
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will there be a military conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before 2023?
Resolved :
No
1%
616 forecasters
38
107 comments
107
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?
9.4%
16 forecasters
3
3 comments
3
The Taiwan Tinderbox