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Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
0.1%
54 forecasters
2
2 comments
2
Major contentious CRISPR patent to be overturned?
Resolved :
No
87 forecasters
9
12 comments
12
What percent of undergrads at select US universities will be enrolled in introductory ML classes?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
43 forecasters
6
6 comments
6
Will the recipient of the 2020 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics work for a top cited scholastic institution?
Resolved :
Yes
56 forecasters
9
33 comments
33
Will Median Bay Area House Prices decline by >= 5% in 2021?
Resolved :
No
74 forecasters
9
10 comments
10
Future Perfect 2021 Series
Will the University of California Berkeley be primarily in-person for Fall 2021?
Resolved :
Yes
129 forecasters
23
21 comments
21
How many UC Berkeley undergraduates will test positive for covid this semester?
Resolved :
473
35 forecasters
5
32 comments
32
Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?
89%
120 forecasters
15
3 comments
3
AGI Outcomes
Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a nationalized organization?
12%
70 forecasters
12
18 comments
18
AGI Outcomes
Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a university?
3%
93 forecasters
12
3 comments
3
AGI Outcomes
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