• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead

11
33 comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
3 comments
6 forecasters

When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?

Current estimate
12 Nov 2025
2 comments
40 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
03 Nov 2025 23:39

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

6
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
34 comments
173 forecasters

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

35%chance
59% this week
2 comments
77 forecasters

Will the US government shutdown end before November 1, 2025?

2%chance
35% this week
14 comments
92 forecasters

What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies?

METAresult: 51.242B $
MSFTresult: 77.673B $
TSLAresult: 28.095B $
2 comments
80 forecasters

How many provinces in Ecuador will be in a state of emergency on December 25, 2025?

Current estimate
1.95 provinces
15 comments
91 forecasters

What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?

METAresult: 1.05 $
MSFTresult: 3.72 $
TSLAresult: 0.39 $