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Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Syria
80%
Haiti
70%
Mali
61%
70 others
30
82 comments
82
How many communist states will there be in 2050?
4.91
94 forecasters
22
43 comments
43
Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?
4%
36 forecasters
12
19 comments
19
Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?
Resolved :
No
22%
119 forecasters
10
2 comments
2
Will Cuba still be a communist state in 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
93%
240 forecasters
28
51 comments
51
Will Robert Caro's fifth and final volume of his Lyndon Johnson biography be published during his lifetime?
48%
70 forecasters
8
14 comments
14
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Western Pacific Region, outside of China and Taiwan, by March 27?
Resolved :
17.9k
20.7k
41 forecasters
4
5 comments
5
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
If there's a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2030, will this cause >400 million fatalities?
33%
31 forecasters
2 comments
2
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will there be an armed conflict in the South China Sea before 2023?
Resolved :
No
1%
166 forecasters
15
12 comments
12
China and Global Cooperation
How many parties will the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership have on December 31, 2030?
12.5
8 forecasters
2
6 comments
6
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