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What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?
0.00132
27 forecasters
6
10 comments
10
When will Virgin Galactic's first paid flight occur?
Closed
Dec 2020
75 forecasters
9
10 comments
10
Will Richard Branson fail to go to space on July 20th 2019?
Resolved :
Yes
62%
79 forecasters
5
16 comments
16
What will Virgin Galactic be worth 6 months after it is listed on the stock market?
Resolved :
3.68
2.84
31 forecasters
7
11 comments
11
By 2030, will at least 1% of Gallup respondents report the most important problem facing the US is something relating to space?
6.5%
45 forecasters
11
8 comments
8
How many people will fly to space for the first time in the 2020's?
604
22 forecasters
8
7 comments
7
When will the first tourist land on Mars?
Jan 2050
47 forecasters
13
3 comments
3
Verity
The Future of Human Spaceflight
10
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
What will be the cumulative number of private citizens visiting space for the first time?
2025
54.7
2030
238
2035
1.32k
9
10 comments
10
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
What will be the median cost of a visit to space for a private citizen?
2025
24.2M
2030
9.67M
2035
1.79M
13
16 comments
16
🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
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