Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
2
comments
30
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
03 Nov 2025
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
11
1
1
comment
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
5
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
3
comments
39
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.4%
3
comments
54
forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet
31.7%
OpenAI
25%
Anthropic
16.8%
3 others
26%
6
comments
43
forecasters
What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Current estimate
16.1 pp
2
comments
45
forecasters
Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?
93%
chance
2%
today
99
comments
294
forecasters
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
43%
chance
6%
this week
6
comments
87
forecasters
What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies?
AMD (annulled)
Annulled
AAPL
102B
AMD
8.75B
4 others
8
comments
86
forecasters
What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?
AMD (annulled)
Annulled
AAPL
1.78
AMD
1.09
4 others
Load More