• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
πŸ‘₯
Communities
πŸ†
Leaderboards
Topics
πŸ—³οΈ
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
πŸ—žοΈ
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
πŸ“ˆ
Indexes
πŸ’Ž
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
πŸ›οΈ
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☒️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
πŸ€–
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
5 comments
32 forecasters

Five years after AGI, how rich will the richest person in the world be?

Current estimate
>1.5T $

Key Factors

5 comments
66 forecasters

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

20%chance
4% this week
4 comments
27 forecasters

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?

Current estimate
41.2%
9 comments
80 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?

20%chance

Key Factors

10 comments
34 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will nuclear deterrence no longer hold?

30%chance
1 comment
32 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will an AI Windfall Clause have been activated?

1%chance
1 comment
70 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will a single AI company dominate the world economy?

6%chance
9 comments
76 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will human mind uploading have happened?

1%chance
26 comments
44 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?

11%chance
1 comment
46 forecasters

Five years after AGI, will a Dyson swarm be under construction?

0.3%chance