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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

18%chance

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?

34.1%

Five years after AGI, how rich will the richest person in the world be?

Key Factor

value of the billionaire

1.45T $

Key Factor

value of the billionaire

Five years after AGI, will nuclear deterrence no longer hold?

50%chance

Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?

Key Factor

redistribution of wealth

20%chance

Key Factor

redistribution of wealth

Five years after AGI, will humans be extinct?

2%chance

Five years after AGI, what will be the biological human population?

8.85B
people

Five years after AGI, will human mind uploading have happened?

1%chance

Five years after AGI, if there are digital people, what will be their population?

375k
people

Five years after AGI, what will be the world’s real average annual GDP growth?

9.45%