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5
comments
32
forecasters
Five years after AGI, how rich will the richest person in the world be?
Current estimate
1.45T $
4
comments
87
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?
65%
chance
5%
this week
9
comments
80
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?
20%
chance
26
comments
43
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?
11%
chance
3%
this week
0
comments
60
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will there have been a World War III?
6%
chance
3%
this week
4
comments
66
forecasters
By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?
16%
chance
1
comment
32
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will an AI Windfall Clause have been activated?
1%
chance
1%
this week
4
comments
41
forecasters
Five years after AGI, will quantum gravity be solved?
16%
chance
4%
this week
‘Five Years After AGI’ Focus Week
17
43
43
comments
Five Years After AGI
3
comments
26
forecasters
Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?
Current estimate
37.4%
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