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Five years after AGI, will there be universal basic income?

Key Factor

well being of people

30%chance
10% this week

Key Factor

well being of people

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?

34.1%

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

16%chance

Five years after AGI, will an AI Windfall Clause have been activated?

3%chance

Five years after AGI, will there have been a World War III?

10%chance

Five years after AGI, will human mind uploading have happened?

1%chance

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s inequality level (Gini index)?

51.3
Gini

Five years after AGI, will a single AI company dominate the world economy?

6%chance

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

60%chance

Five years after AGI, will nuclear deterrence no longer hold?

40%chance