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28
comments
169
forecasters
Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution before 2030?
11%
chance
condition
US Iran War Before 2025?
Resolved:
No
48
forecasters
if yes
if no
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
45%
45%
Resolved:
Annulled
Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)
20%
20%
5
1
1
comment
48
48
forecasters
Israel-Gaza Conflict
condition
US Iran War Before 2025?
Resolved:
No
47
forecasters
if yes
if no
Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?
45%
45%
Resolved:
Annulled
Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?
24%
24%
1
0
comments
47
47
forecasters
Israel-Gaza Conflict
16
comments
139
forecasters
Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?
1%
chance