• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🇮🇷🇮🇱
Iran-Israel Conflict
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🏦
Big Beautiful Bill
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

How many Israeli hostages will Hamas release before 2024?

Annulled

How many Palestinian fatalities in the West Bank will be caused by Israeli forces before July 1, 2024?

result519

What will be the closing price of Crude Oil (in USD per barrel) on December 30, 2023?

result71.65

The Israel-Hamas War: Forecasting in Unprecedented Times

13
1 comment1
Israel-Gaza Conflict

Before 2024, how many hostages will be freed who were captured in the October 7 Hamas attack?

Released by captorresult: 109
Rescued or escapedresult: 4

Will the November 2023 Israel-Hamas humanitarian pause be extended?

resultYes

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

10%chance

Will there be ≥ 100 deaths due to conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2030?

resultYes

Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

0.4%chance

Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024?

resultNo