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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
28 comments
169 forecasters

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution before 2030?

11%chance
condition

US Iran War Before 2025?

Resolved:No
48 forecasters
if yes
if no

Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)

45%
45%
Resolved:Annulled

Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)

20%
20%
5
11 comment
48
48 forecasters
Israel-Gaza Conflict
condition

US Iran War Before 2025?

Resolved:No
47 forecasters
if yes
if no

Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?

45%
45%
Resolved:Annulled

Russia Expanded Territory in Ukraine in 2026?

24%
24%
1
0 comments
47
47 forecasters
Israel-Gaza Conflict
16 comments
139 forecasters

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

1%chance