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DanielFilan
Predictions
2226
Comments
797
Member Since
February 2016
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by DanielFilan
Will German bishops break from the Catholic Church before 2035?
6%
chance
Will the US see mass price controls in 2021?
result
No
What will inflation be in the US in 2021?
result
7.12
What will unemployment be in the US in 2021?
result
5.36
What will the Metaculus community average log score be for COVID-19 related questions on 20 Jan 2021?
result
0.10775
Will the US hold mass-turnout elections for President on schedule in 2020?
result
Yes
Will Biden be impeached by the US House of Representatives?
result
No
Will Mark Latham be a member of One Nation on the 1st of January 2021?
result
Yes
Best Penn Treebank perplexity of 2019?
result
50.1
Will Carnegie Mellon be the top university accepted to NeurIPS 2019?
result
No
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