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DanielFilan
Predictions
2226
Comments
797
Member Since
February 2016
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by DanielFilan
24
comments
39
forecasters
Will German bishops break from the Catholic Church before 2035?
5%
chance
13
comments
140
forecasters
Will the US see mass price controls in 2021?
result
No
23
comments
102
forecasters
What will inflation be in the US in 2021?
community
4.05
result
7.12
33
comments
114
forecasters
What will unemployment be in the US in 2021?
community
5.66
result
5.36
39
comments
66
forecasters
What will the Metaculus community average log score be for COVID-19 related questions on 20 Jan 2021?
community
<0.1
result
0.10775
46
comments
199
forecasters
Will the US hold mass-turnout elections for President on schedule in 2020?
result
Yes
109
comments
437
forecasters
Will Biden be impeached by the US House of Representatives?
result
No
6
comments
57
forecasters
Will Mark Latham be a member of One Nation on the 1st of January 2021?
result
Yes
17
comments
33
forecasters
Best Penn Treebank perplexity of 2019?
community
39.6
result
50.1
7
comments
44
forecasters
Will Carnegie Mellon be the top university accepted to NeurIPS 2019?
result
No
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