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DanielFilan

Predictions2228

Comments797

Member SinceFebruary 2016

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by DanielFilan

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39 forecasters

Will German bishops break from the Catholic Church before 2035?

5%chance

140 forecasters

Will the US see mass price controls in 2021?

resultNo

102 forecasters

What will inflation be in the US in 2021?

community

4.05

result

7.12

114 forecasters

What will unemployment be in the US in 2021?

community

5.66

result

5.36

66 forecasters

What will the Metaculus community average log score be for COVID-19 related questions on 20 Jan 2021?

community

<0.1

result

0.10775

199 forecasters

Will the US hold mass-turnout elections for President on schedule in 2020?

resultYes

437 forecasters

Will Biden be impeached by the US House of Representatives?

resultNo

57 forecasters

Will Mark Latham be a member of One Nation on the 1st of January 2021?

resultYes

33 forecasters

Best Penn Treebank perplexity of 2019?

community

39.6

result

50.1

44 forecasters

Will Carnegie Mellon be the top university accepted to NeurIPS 2019?

resultNo