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isinlor
Predictions
4816
Comments
566
Member Since
May 2017
links
Overview
Track Record
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Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by isinlor
105
comments
198
forecasters
When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?
00
12
comments
22
forecasters
When will number of reported COVID-19 deaths (globally) per week go below 10,000 for 3 weeks?
community
06 Jul 2022 03:43
result
17 May 2022
8
comments
71
forecasters
How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?
Current estimate
32.3k deaths
17
comments
97
forecasters
Quantum-enhanced machine learning by 2040?
60%
chance
2
comments
29
forecasters
What will be the longest uninterrupted stay (in days) in deep space before 2051?
Current estimate
795 days
9
comments
74
forecasters
Will detection of phosphine in Venus atmosphere be independently reproduced by 2023?
result
No
16
comments
62
forecasters
When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?
Current estimate
05 May 2026
25
comments
90
forecasters
Which month of 2021 will see the biggest global increase of COVID-19 cases?
community
4.12
result
12
24
comments
104
forecasters
How big will be the first crew sent to Mars?
Latest estimate
8.98
This question is closed for forecasting.
42
comments
91
forecasters
When will AI achieve competency on multi-choice questions across diverse fields of expertise (MMLU)?
community
18 Aug 2025
result
20 Jun 2025 00:01
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