Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
mdickens
Predictions
26
Comments
60
Member Since
November 2017
links
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by mdickens
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to long term future charities?
This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.
13.8
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to animal welfare?
11%
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to meta charities?
This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.
24.6
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to cause prioritization?
22.5%
How much money will GiveWell move in 2031?
300M $
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to to global poverty?
This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.
37
In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of donated dollars will go to charities that did not exist in 2020?
31.2%
If the first AGI is developed by a publicly traded company, will the company have performed at least 1.5x as well as the global equities market over the prior 12-2 months?
80%
chance
In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?
85%
chance
Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?
32%
chance
Load More