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Tamay
Predictions
2546
Comments
3061
Member Since
April 2018
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Track Record
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Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by Tamay
How large will the largest cluster used to train an AI model be, by the end of the following years?
Will Fathom Radiant ship a commercial product before 2026?
15%
chance
When will an ML model achieve 90% of human-crowd performance on Autocast?
09 Mar 2027
Results from the AI Progress Essay Contest
12
3 comments
3
AI Progress Essay Contest
Will Facebook decide to make the weights of the 175B parameter model publicly available before 2023?
result
No
Will the weights of the 175B parameter model be made publicly available via a leak or hack by 2023?
result
No
What will be the total aggregate score given to Russia by Freedom House in 2023?
Annulled
Will Peter Daszak be the president of EcoHealth Alliance on January 1, 2024?
result
Yes
What will the largest Common Crawl be, in TiB, by 2032?
1088 TiB
How many FLOPS will be used to train GPT-4 (if it is released)?
result
2.1×10²⁵
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