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evanbd
Predictions
1533
Comments
322
Member Since
March 2020
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by evanbd
Will a new highly-diamagnetic room-temperature material be found before 2025?
result
No
Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025?
result
No
What will be the maximum critical temperature (in Kelvin) for an ambient-pressure superconductor before the given years?
How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025?
6.01
spacecraft
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years?
How many Falcon 9 failures will there be before 2026?
1.38
failures
How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in the following years?
Will a state actor successfully use an ASAT weapon against a foreign satellite before 2024?
result
No
How many smallsat launches will there be in 2022?
result
23
Will BB(5) be known by 2040?
result
Yes
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