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MichaelA
Predictions
10
Comments
144
Member Since
December 2020
links
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by MichaelA
Securing a Flourishing Future by Forecasting Nuclear Risks
0
comments
Collection of questions on nuclear targeting
4
3
3
comments
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Intersections between nuclear risk and AI
5
0
comments
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Nuclear proliferation, force sizes, & yields
6
6
6
comments
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Nuclear risk funding & labor
3
1
1
comment
Nuclear Risk Tournament
7
comments
28
forecasters
Will human population size recover to 5 billion by 3000CE if, by 2100, the population falls below 400 million without extinction occurring within 20 years?
75%
chance
16
comments
44
forecasters
Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?
22%
chance
Discussion and Resources
4
3
3
comments
Flourishing Futures Forum
Hi! I'm the new Nuclear Risk Community Shaper
20
2
2
comments
Flourishing Futures Forum