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Dumbledores_Army
Predictions
5818
Comments
509
Member Since
January 2022
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by Dumbledores_Army
3 comments
37 forecasters
Will Magnificent Seven shares crash before 2027?
25%
chance
10 comments
37 forecasters
Will SpaceX successfully land the following on Mars before 2035?
An uncrewed craft
48%
At least one person
4%
At least one person—and return them to Earth
1.6%
Elon Musk
0.1%
2 comments
23 forecasters
When will there be 100 people on Mars?
Current estimate
2085
15 comments
42 forecasters
Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?
7%
chance
11 comments
205 forecasters
Will the size of the US Supreme Court increase before 2029?
2%
chance
4 comments
49 forecasters
Will the US Constitution be amended to enable a third presidential term by Nov 2028?
2.2%
chance
6 comments
13 forecasters
Will Lucy Letby's murder convictions be overturned within twenty years of her trial?
75%
chance
17 comments
10 forecasters
Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before March 28, 2025?
result
No
68 comments
17 forecasters
Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before March 28, 2025?
result
No
10 comments
20 forecasters
When will the first person reach 150 years of age?
Current estimate
2141
2 comments
11 forecasters
When will the first man celebrate his 120th birthday?
Current estimate
Nov 2049
11 comments
16 forecasters
When will the next person reach 120 years of age?
Current estimate
Mar 2038
9 comments
126 forecasters
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
21%
Saudi Arabia
15%
South Korea
10%
Poland
5%
6 others
20 comments
83 forecasters
Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?
result
No
21 comments
76 forecasters
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
Saudi Arabia
1.2%
South Korea
1%
Saudi Arabia
Annulled
Japan
1%
5 others
16 comments
41 forecasters
Will there be war between North Korea and South Korea before these dates, according to WPR?
10 comments
20 forecasters
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → New Nuclear-Armed State by 2030?
This question is closed for forecasting.
8 comments
29 forecasters
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → 10 or More Nuclear-Armed States by 2035?
This question is closed for forecasting.
3 comments
38 forecasters
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030?
This question is closed for forecasting.
27 comments
19 forecasters
When will the first cryogenically frozen large mammal be revived?
Current estimate
Aug 2064
25 comments
25 forecasters
When will the first baby of an extinct vertebrate species be born or hatched naturally?
Current estimate
Jun 2044
17 comments
20 forecasters
When will UK GDP per capita be less than 50% of that of the world's leading major economy?
Current estimate
Dec 2033
24 comments
199 forecasters
Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?
0.7%
chance
16 comments
155 forecasters
Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025?
result
No
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