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Dumbledores_Army
Predictions
6300
Comments
521
Member Since
January 2022
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Overview
Track Record
Medals
Comments
Questions
Questions by Dumbledores_Army
4 comments
39 forecasters
Will Magnificent Seven shares crash before 2027?
10%
chance
10 comments
41 forecasters
Will SpaceX successfully land the following on Mars before 2035?
An uncrewed craft
69%
At least one person
10%
At least one person—and return them to Earth
1.6%
Elon Musk
0.1%
2 comments
24 forecasters
When will there be 100 people on Mars?
Current estimate
2085
21 comments
43 forecasters
Will a prominent Democratic politician seek asylum abroad before January 20, 2029?
5%
chance
11 comments
218 forecasters
Will the size of the US Supreme Court increase before 2029?
1.9%
chance
4 comments
51 forecasters
Will the US Constitution be amended to enable a third presidential term by Nov 2028?
0.1%
chance
6 comments
13 forecasters
Will Lucy Letby's murder convictions be overturned within twenty years of her trial?
75%
chance
68 comments
17 forecasters
Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before March 28, 2025?
result
No
10 comments
21 forecasters
When will the first person reach 150 years of age?
Current estimate
2141
2 comments
12 forecasters
When will the first man celebrate his 120th birthday?
Current estimate
Nov 2049
11 comments
16 forecasters
When will the next person reach 120 years of age?
Current estimate
Sep 2037
11 comments
128 forecasters
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
20%
Saudi Arabia
15%
South Korea
9%
Poland
3%
6 others
20 comments
83 forecasters
Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026?
result
No
21 comments
77 forecasters
Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?
South Korea
2%
Japan
1%
Ukraine
1%
Saudi Arabia
1%
5 others
16 comments
42 forecasters
Will there be war between North Korea and South Korea before these dates, according to WPR?
10 comments
20 forecasters
2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → New Nuclear-Armed State by 2030?
This question is closed for forecasting.
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