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Haiku
Predictions
8027
Comments
518
Member Since
May 2023
location
Tempe, AZ
occupation
Test Automation Developer / SQA Specialist
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Questions by Haiku
Suggest Questions for the AI Warning Signs Community
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AI Warning Signs
Will an AGI be trained on cheap, accessible hardware before 2040?
2.5%
chance
Before 2030, will a foundation-model-based AI system make $50M in realized profits from not more than $1M of traditional investments and trades?
62.8%
chance
Will any country threaten or commit an act of aggression explicitly due to an AI capabilities race before 2030?
64%
chance
Will an AI system self-replicate on the open internet like a computer virus before 2030?
85%
chance
15% this week
Before 2030, will an AI system scam someone without being given explicit instructions to do so?
90%
chance
Will a tool that can easily generate whole-cloth generative AI deepfakes be broadly accessible before 2030?
99%
chance
When will Google DeepMind's Gemini model be publicly released?
result
06 Dec 2023 15:00