Question
How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?
Total Forecasters172
Community Prediction
50.5M birds
(44M birds - 60.3M birds)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <15M | 0.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 43.95M | — |
| median | 50.54M | — |
| upper 75% | 60.34M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >75M | 8.4% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Dec 20, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 25, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Dec 20, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 25, 2024