98.503 | Will Western institutions determine Israel was responsible for the attack on the Al-Ahli Baptist Hospital in Gaza City before 2024? | Binary |
94.484 | Will Putin attend the G20 summit in India? | Binary |
91.606 | Who will be the de facto leader of Gabon on September 30, 2023? (President Ali Bongo Ondimba) | Binary |
89.957 | Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023? | Binary |
89.888 | Who will be the de facto leader of Gabon on September 30, 2023? (Albert Ondo Ossa) | Binary |
89.017 | Who will be the de facto leader of Gabon on September 30, 2023? (General Brice Oligui Nguema) | Binary |
87.922 | Will civil war break out in Israel before 2024? | Binary |
86.479 | Will there be a military conflict between Serbia and Kosovo before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
85.335 | Will the Wagner Group control a part of Moscow by July 1, 2023? | Binary |
80.537 | Will the Black Sea grain deal be revived before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
79.207 | Will Donald Trump spend at least one hour confined in a jail cell before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
78.704 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2024) | Binary |
72.121 | Will India request that another Canadian diplomat be recalled before 2024? | Binary |
71.954 | Will Russia invade Kazakhstan before 2024? | Binary |
71.745 | Will Mr. Pita Limjaroenrat have been confirmed as the 30th prime minister of Thailand before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
66.685 | Will Mohamed Bazoum, Nigerien President, return to power before August 31, 2023? | Binary |
65.533 | Will the majority of OpenAI's Board of Directors leave the Board before December 1, 2023? | Binary |
60.512 | Will ECOWAS launch a military intervention in Niger before August 12, 2023? | Binary |
56.009 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Simferopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
50.090 | Will ECOWAS intervene militarily in Niger before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
42.611 | Will Yahya Sinwar cease to act as Hamas Chief in the Gaza Strip before 2024? | Binary |
33.627 | Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of September 2023? | Binary |
31.272 | Will there be 400 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2024? | Binary |
30.706 | Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024? | Binary |
28.381 | Will a bill be introduced in the Indian Parliament to change the official name of the country to Bharat before September 23, 2023? | Binary |
27.979 | Will Israel have a national election for Knesset in 2023? | Binary |
24.158 | Will Stepanakert / Khankendi be under de facto Azerbaijani control on September 30, 2023? | Binary |
22.026 | Before July 1, 2023, will an agentized-LLM system improve itself? | Binary |
21.732 | Will internationally recognized media outlets report that a significant Ukrainian military counteroffensive has begun before June 21, 2023? | Binary |
17.983 | Will the extent of Antarctic sea ice for every day in September 2023 be the lowest in recorded history? | Binary |
8.886 | Will the WHO name BA.2.86 as a SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Interest before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
2.529 | Will the Israeli High Court issue a ruling on the "reasonableness" law before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
0.808 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (January 1, 2024) | Binary |
- | Will AI be a Time Person of the Year in 2023? | Binary |
-0.537 | Will the November 2023 Israel-Hamas humanitarian pause be extended? | Binary |
-14.823 | Will Sweden's Loreen win the Eurovision Song Contest 2023? | Binary |
-61.136 | Erdoğan wins 2023 Turkish Presidential Election? (Yes) → Swedish NATO Membership by 2024? | Binary |
-455.260 | Will the MONUSCO UN peacekeeping mission to the Democratic Republic of the Congo be extended with a military personnel ceiling above 11,000 before January 1, 2024? | Binary |