71.126 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
49.148 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
24.278 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
20.571 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
19.135 | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2024? | Binary |
18.365 | How much foreign aid will the US provide Ukraine in 2022? | Continuous |
17.234 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
16.878 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
15.630 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024? | Binary |
15.173 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
12.419 | Will China get involved in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict by 2024? | Binary |
11.604 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
10.591 | Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
9.708 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
9.578 | How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022? | Continuous |
9.013 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |
8.018 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
7.406 | Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024? | Binary |
6.901 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
6.670 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
5.747 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
5.743 | On January 1, 2024, will the Kerch Bridge be destroyed, such that no vehicle can pass over it? | Binary |
4.726 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
3.993 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
3.483 | When will Ukraine regain control of the city of Kherson? | Continuous |
2.898 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
2.402 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
1.381 | Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | Binary |
0.791 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will +1,000 Russian soldiers be killed by Ukrainian forces in 2022 and 2023? | Binary |
0.181 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
-0.796 | In 2023 will Donald Trump make at least one tweet? | Binary |
-2.591 | When will Boris Johnson no longer hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? | Continuous |
-4.684 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Sevastopol? | Binary |
-6.322 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
-10.872 | How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
-15.663 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
-16.575 | Will Holden win his Bet with Zvi about Omicron, conditional on one of them winning? | Binary |
-68.314 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |