| 269.626 | What rank will "Improving Sino-Western Coordination on Global Catastrophic Risk" be on 80,000 Hours's "highest-impact career paths" list on January 1, 2024? | Continuous |
| 140.421 | What will be the market cap of Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent in 2023? | Continuous |
| 100.750 | How many quantum computing patents will China have filed before 2024? | Continuous |
| 74.059 | How much foreign aid will the US provide Ukraine in 2022? | Continuous |
| 63.682 | Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 63.579 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 52.787 | How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022? | Continuous |
| 43.664 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| 41.104 | What percentage of Russian GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 29.652 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
| 26.035 | How many recently active Russian flag officers will emigrate from the Russia-aligned sphere before 2024? | Continuous |
| 20.153 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 17.776 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 17.397 | Will China get involved in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict by 2024? | Binary |
| 16.798 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 15.311 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 14.686 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
| 14.109 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 12.764 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 12.434 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 9.347 | What proportion of NATO member states, excluding the USA, will increase their real 2023 defense spending by at least 25 % compared to 2022? | Continuous |
| 8.047 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 7.470 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.407 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
| 5.089 | When will Ukraine regain control of the city of Kherson? | Continuous |
| 4.779 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.714 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
| 4.176 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
| 2.931 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 1.060 | Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | Binary |
| -0.951 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
| -1.049 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
| -1.886 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
| -9.325 | Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| -9.326 | Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024? | Binary |
| -11.900 | How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
| -15.323 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| -16.144 | Will the UN open an investigation or otherwise intervene on the issue of the Xinjiang internment camps before 2024? | Binary |
| -18.436 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -22.359 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |