57.223 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
52.596 | How much foreign aid will the US provide Ukraine in 2022? | Continuous |
44.746 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
30.262 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
29.792 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |
24.820 | How many recently active Russian flag officers will emigrate from the Russia-aligned sphere before 2024? | Continuous |
24.443 | When will Ukraine regain control of the city of Kherson? | Continuous |
21.162 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
19.697 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024? | Binary |
18.286 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
18.117 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
18.097 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
18.040 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
17.736 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
17.110 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
14.879 | Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024? | Binary |
13.742 | What proportion of NATO member states, excluding the USA, will increase their real 2023 defense spending by at least 25 % compared to 2022? | Continuous |
13.255 | Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024? | Binary |
11.353 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
10.943 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
9.109 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
7.493 | How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
6.547 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
4.454 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
3.863 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
3.696 | In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be detonated (including tests and accidents)? | Binary |
3.480 | Will Israel impose sanctions on Russia before 2024? | Binary |
3.136 | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2024? | Binary |
2.643 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
2.332 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
2.306 | On January 1, 2024, will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK? | Binary |
2.183 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
1.896 | On January 1, 2024, will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war? | Binary |
1.550 | In 2023 will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan? | Binary |
1.190 | On January 1, 2024, will the Kerch Bridge be destroyed, such that no vehicle can pass over it? | Binary |
0.658 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
0.245 | Will a radiological "dirty bomb" be detonated in Ukraine or Russia before 2024? | Binary |
-2.228 | Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
-25.804 | How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022? | Continuous |
-75.550 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
-190.969 | When will Zelenskyy next be pictured in a suit on his Instagram? | Continuous |