63.097 | How many recently active Russian flag officers will emigrate from the Russia-aligned sphere before 2024? | Continuous |
45.580 | How much foreign aid will the US provide Ukraine in 2022? | Continuous |
44.278 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
37.906 | Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024? | Binary |
34.584 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
32.494 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
27.599 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
27.275 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |
26.269 | What proportion of NATO member states, excluding the USA, will increase their real 2023 defense spending by at least 25 % compared to 2022? | Continuous |
21.374 | Will Shanghai continue to subsidize up to 30% of investment in semiconductor materials and equipment projects within the city until 2024? | Binary |
19.946 | Will China get involved in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict by 2024? | Binary |
19.543 | Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024? | Binary |
19.300 | Will China have approved cultivated meat for human consumption by 2024? | Binary |
18.105 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
17.945 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
17.885 | Will China reverse its ban on bitcoin mining and trading before 2024? | Binary |
16.764 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
14.770 | What percentage of Russian GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
14.599 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
14.217 | How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022? | Continuous |
12.755 | Will China adopt any legislation or regulations to prevent contamination of the environment with antimicrobials by 2024? | Binary |
12.678 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
11.962 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
10.799 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
9.478 | How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
8.688 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
8.480 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
7.240 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
6.486 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
4.981 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
4.563 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
4.081 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
2.294 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
-5.180 | What share of global payments in 2023 will be in Chinese renminbi? | Continuous |
-16.926 | Will a member of the Chinese Politburo be expelled or arrested in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
-36.888 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
-46.223 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
-52.324 | When will Ukraine regain control of the city of Kherson? | Continuous |
-197.645 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |