90.505 | Will there be more ArXiv AI publications in the “Computation and Language” subcategory than in the “Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition” subcategory in the calendar year 2019? | Binary |
81.155 | Will the Chinese police or military intervene in Hong Kong in 2019? | Binary |
77.693 | Will the current Ebola outbreak in the DRC be ongoing after February 2020? | Binary |
65.164 | If Donald Trump is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives, will the U.S. Senate take the referral to a vote? | Binary |
58.463 | Before 30 November 2019, will Germany's Bundestag adopt a bill that would impose a fine on parents who refuse a measles vaccine for their children? | Binary |
57.369 | Will Election Betting Odds report a >60% chance of a Trump 2020 presidential election victory by November 30, 2019? | Binary |
49.873 | Will the United States continue to be the country with the largest share of computational power in the November 2019 TOP500? | Binary |
48.657 | How many seats will the Labour and Co-operative Parties win in the next UK general election? | Continuous |
47.629 | Before 30 November 2019, will an Ebola health worker be injured or killed in an attack against an Ebola facility inside the Central African Republic, South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, or Tanzania? | Binary |
43.164 | Will the UK revoke Article 50 by June 23 2020? | Binary |
42.674 | How many seats will the Conservative and Unionist Party win in the next UK general election? | Continuous |
41.853 | Will Oman be removed from the EU list of non-cooperative tax jurisdictions between 20 June 2019 and 31 October 2019? | Binary |
36.453 | Will either the Japanese or Norwegian government blame Iran for the June 2019 Gulf of Oman incident? | Binary |
36.153 | Will Czech Republic's Prime Minister Andrej Babiš experience a significant leadership disruption between 20 June 2019 and 22 August 2019? | Binary |
25.546 | When will Steven Universe: The Movie be released? | Continuous |
20.522 | Will an EU country veto an extension of Brexit's deliberation before Oct 31st 2019? | Binary |
18.342 | How much will Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker make in its opening weekend? | Continuous |
17.377 | Will the Saudi Arabian Oil Company (Aramco) have an IPO before 30 November 2019? | Binary |
15.273 | Will the Chinese police or military intervene in Hong Kong in September 2019? | Binary |
11.016 | Will Kim Jong-un still be the de facto leader of North Korea on 1 January 2020? | Binary |
9.242 | When will Jeremy Corbyn cease to be Leader of the Labour Party? | Continuous |
8.582 | Between 23 May 2019 and 30 July 2019, will the Spanish monarch appoint a President of the Government? | Binary |
5.381 | Will the identity of the author of anonymous NYT editorial become known in 2019? | Binary |
5.131 | Between 23 May 2019 and 29 November 2019, will the IMF approve one or more tranches for release to Ukraine? | Binary |
1.038 | Will the UK's Conservative Government fall before 2020? | Binary |
0.143 | Will Tesla have a higher market capitalization than Ford on 01 January 2020? | Binary |
-0.499 | Will North Korea fail to send the U.S. a Christmas Gift? | Binary |
-3.371 | Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q1 - The United Kingdom will leave the European Union in 2019? | Binary |
-4.455 | Will the Liberal Party of Canada win the most seats in the next Canadian general election? | Binary |
-6.133 | Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q5 - No Democratic presidential candidate will become a clear frontrunner in the political prediction markets at any point in 2019 | Binary |
-9.628 | Will Chandrayaan-2 softly land on the moon in September 2019? | Binary |
-13.875 | Will Iran execute or be targeted in a national military attack between 6 June 2019 and 5 October 2019? | Binary |
-22.266 | Will the Chinese police or military intervene in Hong Kong in August 2019? | Binary |
-41.230 | Will Brexit happen by end of day, October 31st, 2019? | Binary |
-94.128 | Will the International Crisis Group report a deteriorated situation for Iran in July 2019? | Binary |