chipsie

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2022

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5459	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
188.775	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
183.285	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?	Continuous
181.660	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
165.789	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?	Continuous
148.697	What will be the maximum price reached for Ethereum by January 1, 2023?	Continuous
148.531	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 16)	Continuous
128.757	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Mar 19)	Continuous
117.748	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 16)	Continuous
116.512	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Mar 5)	Continuous
109.594	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 4th, 2022?	Continuous
107.184	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 4th of March, 2022?	Continuous
102.911	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Jan 28, 2022?	Continuous
102.872	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Feb 5)	Continuous
102.228	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 25th of March, 2022?	Continuous
101.687	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Feb 19)	Continuous
100.748	How many cyberattacks on Ukrainian infrastructure will be conducted by Russian-based hackers between March 1, 2022 and June 1, 2022?	Continuous
99.942	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Jan 22)	Continuous
99.759	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on Feb 18, 2022?	Continuous
98.813	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (May 14)	Continuous
97.487	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 18th of February, 2022?	Continuous
97.123	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 30)	Continuous
95.128	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (May 14)	Continuous
94.767	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Mar 4, 2022?	Continuous
94.587	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 28th of January, 2022?	Continuous
94.441	On how many days in 2022 will U.S. hospital admissions (for COVID) exceed the pre-2022 peak?	Continuous
93.123	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?	Continuous
91.540	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 16)	Continuous
88.956	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Jan 22)	Continuous
83.716	Will any single cyberattack in 2022 result in damages over $10 billion?	Binary
83.655	Will a cyber action or series of cyber actions trigger NATO’s Article 5 in 2022?	Binary
82.397	Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022?	Binary
80.967	Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022?	Binary
79.536	Will the US executive branch attempt to ban or otherwise further limit ransomware payments in 2022?	Binary
78.161	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (May 14)	Continuous
77.157	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Feb 5)	Continuous
75.698	Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023?	Binary
75.663	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
75.663	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 11th of March, 2022?	Continuous
74.776	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Feb 5)	Continuous
73.947	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on Feb, 11 2022?	Continuous
73.080	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 30)	Continuous
72.136	Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023?	Binary
70.649	Will Russia invade Ukraine before February 1, 2022?	Binary
69.211	Will the Senate Commerce committee reach an agreement on preemption for a federal data security and data privacy law in 2022?	Binary
68.172	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Feb 19)	Continuous
67.803	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on February 11th, 2022?	Continuous
67.634	Before January 1, 2023, will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus?	Binary
67.613	By December 31, 2022, will at least 10,000 US troops move into Ukraine?	Binary
66.072	Will there be a successful cyberattack on the 2022 FIFA World Cup?	Binary
66.016	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia on March 11, 2022?	Continuous
65.882	How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023?	Continuous
64.379	Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023?	Binary
64.021	Will Russia withdraw from the New START arms control treaty before January 1, 2023?	Binary
63.114	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022?	Binary
63.036	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Mar 5)	Continuous
62.597	Will there be a Tau variant of COVID by Tau Day (June 28, 2022)?	Binary
62.165	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on April 1st, 2022?	Continuous
61.781	Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023?	Binary
61.306	Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut the Kerch Strait Cable before 2023?	Binary
61.139	Will a cyberattack using the Log4J exploit cause $20 million in damage to a single target before September 1, 2022?	Binary
60.534	Will Tether collapse before 2023?	Binary
59.149	By February 6, 2022, will the James Webb Space Telescope successfully see First Light?	Binary
58.613	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
58.362	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022?	Binary
57.823	How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022?	Continuous
57.693	Will a new zero day vulnerability be exploited against and result in the compromise of 100 million Americans’ personal information by June 30, 2022?	Binary
57.386	Will Ukraine have de facto control of Mariupol on January 1, 2023?	Binary
56.639	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 29, 2022)	Continuous
56.490	How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in 2022?	Continuous
56.024	Will more than 50,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
55.391	Will Odessa be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
54.930	Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022?	Binary
54.377	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 16)	Continuous
54.217	Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
54.166	Will average semiconductor chip lead times (amount of time between order and delivery) drop to below 15 weeks at any point before July 1, 2022?	Binary
54.070	Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
53.733	Will Sumy be under Russian control on June 1, 2022?	Binary
53.407	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
53.191	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Feb 19)	Continuous
53.179	Will Brent Crude Oil top $140/barrel before May 2022?	Binary
53.138	What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 May 2022?	Continuous
52.936	Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022?	Binary
52.885	Will a popular online identity verification service be breached in 2022?	Binary
52.465	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Feb 5)	Continuous
52.203	Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2023?	Binary
51.907	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Mar 5)	Continuous
51.812	Will EA Global London 2022 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again?	Binary
51.050	Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022?	Binary
50.277	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Jan 22)	Continuous
49.393	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Mar 19)	Continuous
49.177	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 1, 2022)	Continuous
48.106	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (May 1, 2022)	Continuous
47.563	Will Russia or Russia-based actors cut an undersea internet cable before 2023?	Binary
47.125	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
46.417	Will China make a successful, major cyberattack on Taiwanese critical infrastructure before December 31, 2022?	Binary
44.718	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022)	Continuous
44.352	Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2023?	Binary
43.385	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Feb 19)	Continuous
42.969	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022)	Continuous
41.607	Will Princeton cancel in person classes in January 2022?	Binary
41.466	What percent of global organizations will experience a successful email-based phishing attack in 2022?	Continuous
41.284	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
40.677	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 11th of February, 2022?	Continuous
40.422	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
40.255	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
40.002	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
39.298	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Mar 5)	Continuous
39.039	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
38.865	Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2022?	Binary
38.810	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (May 29, 2022)	Continuous
37.124	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
37.082	Will more than 25,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
37.039	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Mar 5)	Continuous
36.349	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022)	Continuous
36.091	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
35.868	How many seats will Democrats hold in the US Senate after 2022 midterm elections?	Continuous
35.746	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 11th, 2022?	Continuous
35.344	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
34.546	Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?	Binary
34.015	Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022?	Binary
33.992	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
33.865	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 4th, 2022 and April 29th, 2022?	Continuous
33.397	Will a cyberattack directly cause one or more deaths in 2022?	Binary
33.173	Will a cyberattack target a major system's data integrity before July 1, 2022?	Binary
32.936	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
32.718	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
32.356	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
31.912	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 31)	Continuous
31.308	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Apr 2)	Continuous
31.253	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Feb 19)	Continuous
31.222	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
31.016	In the next round of FITARA (Federal Information Technology Acquisition Reform Act) scoring, will the median cyber grade for the covered federal departments and agencies come out as a “B-” or higher?	Binary
30.991	Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022?	Binary
30.954	Will Boris Johnson be charged with any criminal offence before 2023?	Binary
24.759	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on March 25, 2022?	Continuous
24.229	Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022?	Binary
23.592	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Jan 22)	Continuous
23.102	What will the estimated cybersecurity workforce gap for the United States be on October 15, 2022?	Continuous
22.971	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
22.623	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
22.359	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
21.902	Will it become public that the United States launched a cyber attack between Jan 1, 2022 and April 30, 2022 against infrastructure associated with Russian cyber operators or proxies?	Binary
21.598	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
21.205	Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023?	Binary
21.124	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
21.024	How many border crossings leaving Ukraine will there be in 2022?	Continuous
20.239	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022)	Continuous
20.186	Will the Buffalo Bills play in Super Bowl LVI?	Binary
20.153	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 2)	Continuous
19.574	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
19.261	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022)	Continuous
19.217	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
18.841	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Mar 19)	Continuous
14.325	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 30)	Continuous
13.167	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Feb 5)	Continuous
12.758	Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022?	Binary
11.255	How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022?	Continuous
10.967	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between January 14th, 2022 and April 8th, 2022?	Continuous
10.094	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
9.984	Will the US claim that a Russian disinformation campaign attempted to influence the 2022 midterm elections?	Binary
9.802	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
5.427	Will at least four REvil gang members be in prison on May 15, 2022?	Binary
4.488	Will critical EU or UK infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023?	Binary
3.017	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Jan 22)	Continuous
2.892	Will Sweden's government initiate the process of joining NATO in 2022?	Binary
2.628	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
1.904	Will the Metaculus question about Russian troops in Kyiv in 2022 resolve ambiguously?	Binary
1.528	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
0.559	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on March 25th, 2022?	Continuous
0.164	Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022?	Binary
-0.166	What percent of ransomware victims whose data was encrypted will report paying a ransom in 2022?	Continuous
-1.716	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Mar 19)	Continuous
-10.043	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
-11.847	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Feb 5)	Continuous
-13.873	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
-14.695	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Mar 19)	Continuous
-15.599	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
-16.580	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between February 25th, 2022 and May 20th, 2022?	Continuous
-18.462	Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022?	Binary
-19.284	Will the UK authorise fourth doses of Covid vaccines for healthy adults in 2022?	Binary
-22.988	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (May 14)	Continuous
-23.597	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Mar 19)	Continuous
-29.201	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Feb 19)	Continuous
-31.261	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Texas for these weeks? (November 5)	Continuous
-31.789	If Russia vetoes the UN Security Council vote to condemn the invasion of Ukraine, will the UN General Assembly override the veto?	Binary
-33.010	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Apr 2)	Continuous
-33.253	How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022)	Continuous
-35.153	Will North Korea have internet failures on 4 or more days between March 8, 2022 and August 1, 2022?	Binary
-37.167	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (Apr 30)	Continuous
-37.415	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
-48.914	How many ransomware attacks against U.S. educational institutions will be reported in 2022?	Continuous
-51.058	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
-52.735	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 2)	Continuous
-53.300	Flu Hospitalizations for WY (Mar 5)	Continuous
-60.170	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on April 22nd, 2022?	Continuous
-62.777	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
-66.626	Will an impactful penetration of a software supply chain be discovered by a party other than themselves in 2022?	Binary
-73.398	Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Donald Trump)	Binary
-75.057	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
-79.643	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
-85.642	Will there be a Pi variant of COVID by Pi Day (March 14, 2022)?	Binary
-86.388	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
-86.815	Will Russian troops enter Odessa, Ukraine before December 31, 2022?	Binary
-88.542	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Florida for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
-90.412	Will 2022 venture capital investment in cybersecurity companies surpass 2021?	Binary
-95.762	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 16)	Continuous
-97.512	What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 May 2022?	Continuous
-106.266	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 16)	Continuous
-111.776	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 2)	Continuous
-116.229	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these weeks? (November 19)	Continuous
-124.839	Flu Hospitalizations for NY (Apr 30)	Continuous
-128.205	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
-130.945	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (May 14)	Continuous
-137.007	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
-141.268	Flu Hospitalizations for FL (May 14)	Continuous
-141.913	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Pennsylvania for these weeks? (December 17)	Continuous
-149.660	Will a DDoS attack of greater than 3.5TPS occur in 2022?	Binary
-156.013	Flu Hospitalizations for OK (Jan 22)	Continuous
-158.532	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in New York for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
-179.721	What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in Arizona for these weeks? (December 3)	Continuous
-186.656	Flu Hospitalizations for CA (Apr 30)	Continuous
-218.145	Flu Hospitalizations for VT (Apr 2)	Continuous