| 90.576 | Will a Russian nuclear weapon be detonated in the US before 2023? | Binary |
| 87.024 | [Short fuse]: Will Russia assume responsibility and apologize for the Przewodów strike before December? | Binary |
| 86.733 | Will a US nuclear weapon be detonated in Russia before 2023? | Binary |
| 73.499 | Will Governor Newsom be Reelected Governor of California in 2022? | Binary |
| 72.369 | Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on January 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 71.248 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Boris Johnson) | Binary |
| 66.154 | Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023? | Binary |
| 63.622 | Will Russia formally declare war with Ukraine before August 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 61.779 | Will Odessa be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 61.018 | Will at least one nuclear weapon be detonated in Ukraine before 2023? | Binary |
| 59.374 | Will Carrick Flynn win the general election for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
| 56.722 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 55.656 | Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022? | Binary |
| 55.513 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection in 2022? | Binary |
| 55.357 | Will more than 50,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
| 53.406 | Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023? | Binary |
| 52.240 | Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 48.726 | Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 46.324 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023? | Binary |
| 44.477 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 43.511 | Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
| 42.160 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? | Binary |
| 40.709 | Will Russia withdraw from the New START arms control treaty before January 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 40.350 | Will the British pound trade below $1 before 2023? | Binary |
| 39.464 | Will Tether collapse before 2023? | Binary |
| 36.131 | Will CAIDA measure a major disruption of the Ukrainian internet for 24 hours before August 2022? | Binary |
| 35.349 | Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
| 35.281 | Will the New York Times place Wordle (or any currently existing part of Wordle) behind a paywall during 2022? | Binary |
| 35.055 | Will Ukraine acknowledge having fired the missile that killed two people in Przewodów, Poland, before 2023? | Binary |
| 33.673 | Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 31.982 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Sergio Perez) | Binary |
| 31.361 | Will Russian troops enter Odessa, Ukraine before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 31.318 | Will Russian troops enter Lviv, Ukraine before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 30.670 | Will China abandon their zero-covid strategy before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 30.646 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Carlos Sainz) | Binary |
| 29.996 | Will Russian or Belarusian troops cross the land border between Belarus and either the Volyn or Rivne oblasts before 2023? | Binary |
| 29.815 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (George Russell) | Binary |
| 29.815 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Lewis Hamilton) | Binary |
| 29.815 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Max Verstappen) | Binary |
| 29.084 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? | Binary |
| 28.449 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Mariupol on January 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 28.431 | Will Facebook decide to make the weights of the 175B parameter model publicly available before 2023? | Binary |
| 28.064 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Charles Leclerc) | Binary |
| 27.683 | Will Twitter's board accept an acquisition offer from someone other than Elon Musk before 2023? | Binary |
| 26.954 | Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023? | Binary |
| 26.451 | Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? | Binary |
| 26.359 | Will a cyber action or series of cyber actions trigger NATO’s Article 5 in 2022? | Binary |
| 25.876 | Will Boris Johnson be charged with any criminal offence before 2023? | Binary |
| 25.607 | Before 2023, will Joe Biden announce that he will not run for president in 2024? | Binary |
| 24.347 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be named Time Person of the Year in 2022? | Binary |
| 24.063 | Before 2023, will the US CDC recommend the general use of the monkeypox vaccine for all men who have sex with men in the US? | Binary |
| 22.937 | Will Xi Jinping be re-elected paramount leader in 2022? | Binary |
| 22.849 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 21.915 | Will Sumy be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 21.814 | Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 21.662 | Will Russia officially declare war on Ukraine or announce its intent to do so by May 9, 2022? | Binary |
| 21.466 | Will there be a Tau variant of COVID by Tau Day (June 28, 2022)? | Binary |
| 21.074 | Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022? | Binary |
| 20.922 | Will more than 25,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
| 20.584 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 20.435 | Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2022? | Binary |
| 17.968 | Will Mehmet Oz win the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? | Binary |
| 17.695 | Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022? | Binary |
| 16.280 | Will Queen Elizabeth II abdicate in 2022? | Binary |
| 16.271 | Will Pakistan default on its debt in 2022? | Binary |
| 15.861 | Will Blake Masters win the 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona? | Binary |
| 14.138 | Will the US CDC recommend use of a smallpox/monkeypox vaccine for at least 10% of the US population, before 2023? | Binary |
| 13.329 | Will the US claim that a Russian disinformation campaign attempted to influence the 2022 midterm elections? | Binary |
| 12.689 | Will critical EU or UK infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
| 11.841 | Will any Fields Medal winner boycott ICM 2022 for political reasons? | Binary |
| 11.449 | Will Rick Caruso be elected Mayor of Los Angeles in 2022? | Binary |
| 9.877 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Morocco) | Binary |
| 9.090 | Will Omicron XE be the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the US before June 19, 2022? | Binary |
| 8.848 | Will EA Global London 2022 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again? | Binary |
| 8.604 | Will Brent Crude Oil top $140/barrel before May 2022? | Binary |
| 7.523 | Will James Charles have more than 25 million Youtube subscribers by January 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 7.120 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Croatia) | Binary |
| 6.706 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Switzerland) | Binary |
| 6.386 | Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa no longer be the President of Sri Lanka before 2023? | Binary |
| 6.273 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (South Korea) | Binary |
| 6.179 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Japan) | Binary |
| 6.049 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (France) | Binary |
| 5.802 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Senegal) | Binary |
| 5.684 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Poland) | Binary |
| 5.642 | Will Sweden's government initiate the process of joining NATO in 2022? | Binary |
| 5.337 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Australia) | Binary |
| 5.257 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (United States of America) | Binary |
| 5.234 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Portugal) | Binary |
| 5.173 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (England) | Binary |
| 5.157 | Will the European Central Bank raise interest rates in 2022? | Binary |
| 5.079 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Netherlands) | Binary |
| 5.024 | Will there be an armed conflict in the South China Sea before 2023? | Binary |
| 4.892 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Serbia) | Binary |
| 4.892 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Cameroon) | Binary |
| 4.820 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ghana) | Binary |
| 4.746 | Will average semiconductor chip lead times (amount of time between order and delivery) drop to below 15 weeks at any point before July 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 4.691 | Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022? | Binary |
| 4.649 | Before January 1, 2023, will Russia invade or annex all or part of Belarus? | Binary |
| 4.571 | Will David Segal win the RI-2 Democratic primary? | Binary |
| 4.418 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Costa Rica) | Binary |
| 4.207 | Will Russia default on its debt in 2022? | Binary |
| 4.206 | Will Solana be in the top-10 cryptocurrencies by market cap on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 4.088 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Alex Jones) | Binary |
| 4.088 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Jared Taylor) | Binary |
| 4.088 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Tila Tequila) | Binary |
| 4.088 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)) | Binary |
| 4.088 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Milo Yiannopoulos) | Binary |
| 4.008 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Brazil) | Binary |
| 3.917 | Will Viktor Orbán win the 2022 Hungarian Parliamentary Election? | Binary |
| 3.904 | Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2023? | Binary |
| 3.868 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 3.868 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Mexico) | Binary |
| 3.868 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Tunisia) | Binary |
| 3.721 | Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022? | Binary |
| 3.490 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Iran) | Binary |
| 3.490 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Wales) | Binary |
| 3.474 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ecuador) | Binary |
| 3.461 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Spain) | Binary |
| 3.226 | Will Russia substantially restrict emigration by April 1, 2022? | Binary |
| 3.103 | Will the ceasefire in Yemen hold for its intended duration? | Binary |
| 2.515 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Canada) | Binary |
| 2.452 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay) | Binary |
| 2.393 | Will Sarah Palin be elected as US Representative for Alaska in 2022? | Binary |
| 2.019 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Germany) | Binary |
| 1.970 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Belgium) | Binary |
| 1.526 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Denmark) | Binary |
| 1.437 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Qatar) | Binary |
| 0.911 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy's image appear on the cover of Time's 2022 Person of the Year issue, more prominently than any other person's image? | Binary |
| 0.410 | Will Ron Johnson win the 2022 Wisconsin US Senate election? | Binary |
| - | Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
| - | Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
| - | Will Raphael Warnock be re-elected in the 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia? | Binary |
| -0.415 | By December 31, 2022, will Twitter agree to be taken private by Elon Musk? | Binary |
| -7.572 | Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023? | Binary |
| -9.261 | [Short Fuse] Will Top Gun: Maverick win Favorite Movie at the 2022 People's Choice Awards? | Binary |
| -13.698 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023? | Binary |
| -14.653 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Argentina) | Binary |
| -25.555 | Will Rafael Nadal make it to the semifinals of every Grand Slam in 2022? | Binary |
| -26.769 | Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| -31.405 | Will the study “Knowledge about others reduces one’s own sense of anonymity” (Nature, 2022) replicate? | Binary |
| -33.171 | Will the US Government designate Russia a "State Sponsor of Terrorism" by 2023? | Binary |
| -63.865 | Will 2022 venture capital investment in cybersecurity companies surpass 2021? | Binary |